A new poll released ahead of Brazil's second-round presidential election on October 25 finds former president Jair Bolsonaro with a slim two percentage point advantage over his rival Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The survey highlights the tightness of the contest as both campaigns intensify efforts to sway undecided voters.
Tight race as runoff approaches
The result underscores how volatile the campaign has become since the first round, with neither side holding a commanding lead. With turnout and last-minute shifts among centrist and undecided voters likely to decide the outcome, the contest remains uncertain despite the narrow edge shown in the poll.
Campaigns respond and recalibrate
Both camps have been mobilizing supporters and reaching out to potential swing voters in the final days before the vote. Analysts say messages on the economy, public security and democratic institutions are expected to dominate the closing arguments from each candidate, as they try to build coalitions that were not fully formed in the first round.
Implications and what to watch
A two-point advantage in a national poll can signal momentum but does not guarantee a result on election day, especially in a polarized environment where turnout and regional variations matter. Observers will be watching shifts in voter intentions, the effectiveness of last-minute campaigning, and whether either side can persuade voters beyond their core bases to secure victory on October 25.