Could recent European gains and UK street actions signal a rise in the far right?

A reported historic victory for Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland and recent balaclava-clad marches in Dover and Portsmouth have renewed debate over the growth of populist far-right forces; Reform UK meanwhile faced protests and donor allegations at its conference, raising questions about the movement’s prospects in Britain.

Europe has seen a renewed surge in visibility for populist right-wing parties, underscored by Alternative für Deutschland’s claim of a historic win in Germany. That success has revived discussion among analysts and politicians about whether the continent is entering a period of sustained far-right strength.

Protests in Dover and Portsmouth

In the United Kingdom, small groups of far-right demonstrators wearing balaclavas have staged high-profile marches in coastal towns, including Dover and later Portsmouth, that organisers and authorities say were aimed at intimidating people seeking asylum. The demonstrations prompted local concern and national debate over why such actions are occurring and how they should be policed.

Reform UK conference and controversies

Meanwhile, Reform UK’s conference concluded amid disruption for party leader Nigel Farage, who was confronted by protesters and has had to respond to allegations arising from an undercover investigation into party donors. The combination of street-level activism and media revelations has left party strategists and observers assessing the potential political fallout.

Implications for British politics

Observers differ on whether heightened far-right sentiment in Europe will translate into lasting electoral gains in the UK. Some argue that visible street actions and continental victories may energise parts of the electorate and feed into Reform UK’s messaging; others say that negative publicity, internal disputes and legal or regulatory scrutiny could blunt any momentum. Mainstream parties are watching closely for how public attitudes on migration and security evolve.

Looking ahead

The coming months are likely to show whether these developments represent a temporary spike in visibility or the start of a broader shift in political alignment. Analysts will be monitoring party organisation, media coverage and public opinion for signs of consolidation or retreat.

For more background readers can consult the explainer on the Dover and Portsmouth protests and Pippa’s recent article on John Healey. The Politics Weekly team welcomes comments and questions at politicsweeklyuk@theguardian.com.